High King of the Known Worlds
I don’t mean “time on top” as somebody outcompetes them. I mean that, as a near monopoly, Disney might get caught wrong-footed on trends and have nowhere to go but to spin back down into a more free market. If everybody (and Disney’s big enough now that they darn near count as “everybody” all on their own) makes one type of movie and then people decide they don’t like that type of movie... that’s a big drop in income. If there’s competitors, there’s a path to go down- “well they’re doing westerns and making money, let’s do westerns”. But if there’s nobody else, I’d think the temptation would be “people don’t like movies anymore, time to downsize” and maybe spin some of these studios back off, divesting themselves of the pseudo-monopoly they built.Who is going to topple them at this point? They have a near-monopoly on modern blockbusters, and their strategy of going all-in on tentpoles built around established IP has them on track for yet another year of record breaking profits. The more likely outcome is not that some other studio knocks Disney off their perch with a slate of original movies Disney wouldn't make,
More or less this, in other words. Only I’m not quite as grim on the outcome.Disney will eventually strangle the blockbuster industry to death. It will burn its own fingers too, but by that point, everyone else will be a smouldering corpse.